{"id":68323,"date":"2019-11-26T13:29:27","date_gmt":"2019-11-26T05:29:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nomoneylah.com\/?p=68323"},"modified":"2023-01-26T12:18:00","modified_gmt":"2023-01-26T04:18:00","slug":"gold-stable-investment","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nomoneylah.com\/2019\/11\/26\/gold-stable-investment\/","title":{"rendered":"Is Gold a Stable Investment?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wpb-content-wrapper\">[vc_row][vc_column width=&#8221;1\/1&#8243;][vc_column_text]<\/p>\r\n<p><span class=\"font-134980\">A lot of people, especially among the Asian community, have a long conventional perspective where <span style=\"color: #ff00ff;\">gold<\/span> is a stable investment compared to other existing investment vehicles. I, for one, used to think so back when I was a teenager.<\/span><\/p>\r\n\r\n<p><span class=\"font-134980\">For a while, I have been intrigued by the conventional thinking of gold as a stable investment. Hence, I went on researching and managed to do some digging into this topic.<\/span><\/p>\r\n\r\n<p><span class=\"font-134980\">In this short yet important article, let\u2019s explore if our conventional perspective is true, and do some myth-busting wherever necessary:<\/span><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_65 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<label for=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-662c7aa855b91\" class=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-label\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/label><input type=\"checkbox\"  id=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-662c7aa855b91\"  aria-label=\"Toggle\" \/><nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/nomoneylah.com\/2019\/11\/26\/gold-stable-investment\/#Gold_is_in_fact_not_as_stable_as_you_think\" title=\"Gold is, in fact, not as stable as you think \">Gold is, in fact, not as stable as you think <\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/nomoneylah.com\/2019\/11\/26\/gold-stable-investment\/#Now_instead_lets_look_at_the_standard_deviation_value_of_gold_%E2%80%93_a_measure_that_will_give_us_a_better_view_of_how_volatile_is_gold_over_a_10-year_period\" title=\"Now, instead, let\u2019s look at the standard deviation value of gold \u2013 a measure that will give us a better view of how volatile is gold over a 10-year period.\">Now, instead, let\u2019s look at the standard deviation value of gold \u2013 a measure that will give us a better view of how volatile is gold over a 10-year period.<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/nomoneylah.com\/2019\/11\/26\/gold-stable-investment\/#Gold_is_Volatile_But%E2%80%A6\" title=\"Gold is Volatile, But\u2026\">Gold is Volatile, But\u2026<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/nomoneylah.com\/2019\/11\/26\/gold-stable-investment\/#No_Money_Lahs_Verdict\" title=\"No Money Lah\u2019s Verdict\">No Money Lah\u2019s Verdict<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Gold_is_in_fact_not_as_stable_as_you_think\"><\/span><span class=\"font-762333\"><strong>Gold is, in fact, not as stable as you think <\/strong><\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\r\n\r\n<p><span class=\"font-134980\">To many, gold is thought to be a stable store of wealth. At the very least, gold should be something that, in our very own slang \u2013 <\/span><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\r\n<p><em><span class=\"font-134980\">\u201cWill not lose money one right?&#8221;<\/span><\/em><\/p>\r\n<\/blockquote>\r\n\r\n<p><strong><span class=\"font-134980\">Apparently, that\u2019s not the case.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\r\n\r\n<p><span class=\"font-134980\">Take SPDR <a title=\"\" class=\"aalmanual\" href=\"https:\/\/nomoneylah.com\/2019\/11\/22\/gold-investment\/\">Gold<\/a> Shares (GLD), an <abbr class='c2c-text-hover' title='A publicly listed fund that usually tracks the performance of a collective basket of assets like stocks and bonds.'><a title=\"\" class=\"aalmanual\" href=\"https:\/\/nomoneylah.com\/2021\/03\/10\/etf-investing-guide\/\">ETF<\/a><\/abbr> that tracks gold performance, as a benchmark \u2013 which has an <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/ask\/answers\/06\/geometricmean.asp\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">mean\u00a0annual return<\/a> of 0.39%<\/strong> for the past 10 years (not too bad for a \u2018stable\u2019 investment, huh?).<\/span><\/p>\r\n\r\n<p><span class=\"font-134980\">However, just looking at the average annual return <strong>DOES NOT<\/strong> give us a clear picture of how stable gold has performed.<\/span><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator is-style-dots\" \/>\r\n\r\n\r\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Now_instead_lets_look_at_the_standard_deviation_value_of_gold_%E2%80%93_a_measure_that_will_give_us_a_better_view_of_how_volatile_is_gold_over_a_10-year_period\"><\/span><span class=\"font-762333\">Now, instead, let\u2019s look at the <em>standard deviation<\/em> value of gold \u2013 a measure that will give us a better view of how volatile is gold over a 10-year period.<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\r\n\r\n<p><span class=\"font-134980\">With a <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/quote\/GLD\/risk\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">standard deviation of 16.59<\/a><\/span>, this provides us with a better picture of gold\u2019s volatility.<\/span><\/p>\r\n\r\n<p><span class=\"font-134980\">Essentially, <strong>a standard deviation of 16.59 means that if you have held gold for the past 10 years, there is a probability that your return could go as high as 16.98% a year <em>(0.39% + 16.59%)<\/em>, or as low as -16.2% <em>(0.39% &#8211; 16.59%)<\/em> a year.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\r\n\r\n<p><span class=\"font-134980\">In comparison, the <strong>S&amp;P 500 index<\/strong> scored an <strong>mean annual\u00a0return of 1.13% per year<\/strong>, with a <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/quote\/SPY\/risk\/\">standard deviation of 12.48<\/a><\/span> for the last 10 years.<\/span><\/p>\r\n\r\n<p><span class=\"font-134980\">This means that, <strong>if you have invested and held the US stock market for the past 10 years, your return could be as high as 13.61% <em>(1.13% + 12.48%)<\/em>, or as low as -11.35% <em>(1.13% &#8211; 12.48%)<\/em> a year.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\r\n\r\n<p><span class=\"font-134980\">Simply put, gold\u2019s movement to the upside and downside is huge and is definitely not as \u2018stable\u2019 as perceived by many. <\/span><span class=\"font-134980\">In fact, gold is a volatile asset &#8211; even when compared to the stock market.<\/span><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"800\" class=\"wp-image-68337\" src=\"https:\/\/nomoneylah.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/GOLD-extra-P2.png\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/nomoneylah.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/GOLD-extra-P2.png 800w, https:\/\/nomoneylah.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/GOLD-extra-P2-300x300.png 300w, https:\/\/nomoneylah.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/GOLD-extra-P2-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/nomoneylah.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/GOLD-extra-P2-768x768.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/>\r\n<figcaption>Gold vs Stock Market Volatility over the past 10 years. (Source: Yahoo Finance)<\/figcaption>\r\n<\/figure>\r\n\r\n\r\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator is-style-dots\" \/>\r\n\r\n\r\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Gold_is_Volatile_But%E2%80%A6\"><\/span><span class=\"font-762333\">Gold is Volatile, But\u2026<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\r\n\r\n<p><span class=\"font-134980\">It is not something you should overlook. This is because gold, even as a volatile asset, is a <strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/nomoneylah.com\/2019\/11\/22\/gold-investment\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">great portfolio diversifier with almost 0 correlation with the stock market<\/a><\/span><\/strong>. Also, gold is a <strong>great hedge of wealth<\/strong> against growing consensus towards global interest rate reduction.<\/span><\/p>\r\n\r\n<p><span class=\"font-134980\">Even more so, gold also plays an important part in the portfolio of prominent investors, namely as a <strong>hedge against inflation<\/strong>. In the <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.iwillteachyoutoberich.com\/blog\/all-weather-portfolio\/\">All-Weather Portfolio by Ray Dalio<\/a><\/span> (founder of investment firm Bridgewater Associates, one of the world&#8217;s largest hedge funds), gold makes up 7.5% of the total portfolio aggregation.<\/span><\/p>\r\n\r\n<p><strong><span class=\"font-134980\">In other words, it still makes a lot of sense for one to include SOME proportion of gold into his or her portfolio as an effective way of wealth preservation.\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\r\n\r\n<p><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\">p<\/span><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"541\" class=\"wp-image-68336\" src=\"https:\/\/nomoneylah.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/all-weather-1024x541.png\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/nomoneylah.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/all-weather-1024x541.png 1024w, https:\/\/nomoneylah.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/all-weather-300x158.png 300w, https:\/\/nomoneylah.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/all-weather-768x405.png 768w, https:\/\/nomoneylah.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/all-weather.png 1360w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/>\r\n<figcaption>Ray Dalio&#8217;s All-Weather Portfolio (Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iwillteachyoutoberich.com\/blog\/all-weather-portfolio\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">IWillTeachYouToBeRich<\/a>)<\/figcaption>\r\n<\/figure>\r\n\r\n\r\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator is-style-dots\" \/>\r\n\r\n\r\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"No_Money_Lahs_Verdict\"><\/span><span class=\"font-762333\">No Money Lah\u2019s Verdict<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\r\n\r\n<p><span class=\"font-134980\">In short, gold is not the \u2018stable\u2019 investment as perceived conventionally. <strong>As such, gold is NOT SUITABLE to become the MAIN store of wealth and investment vehicle for most people, due to its volatility as mentioned above.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\r\n\r\n<p><span class=\"font-134980\">However, gold should not be overlooked, as it still has its advantages in diversifying your risks when it comes to the preservation of your wealth.<\/span><\/p>\r\n\r\n<p><span class=\"font-134980\">To end, here\u2019s an interesting angle to look at gold, as shared by a friend of mine, Jason:<\/span><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\r\n<p><em><span class=\"font-134980\">Gold should not be seen through the investment lens, but the preservation lens. And not the preservation of fiat value, but for value where fiat money cannot exist (meaning, the day when our paper money is no longer valuable as a means of exchange)<\/span><\/em><\/p>\r\n<\/blockquote>\r\n<div class=\"wp-block-button aligncenter\">\u00a0<\/div>\r\n\r\n\r\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\" \/>\r\n\r\n\r\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"font-762333\">Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) is one of my favorites to invest in, as they provide relatively stable dividends &#8211; hence making them a great passive income source.<\/span><\/h4>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<div class=\"wp-block-button aligncenter\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-background\" style=\"background-color: #0cb4ce;\" href=\"https:\/\/nomoneylah.com\/workshop\/\" rel=\"https:\/\/forms.gle\/irjp9p1jfznjpxwb6 noopener noreferrer\">Click HERE to find out HOW you can pick and invest in quality REITs!<\/a><\/div>\r\n\r\n\r\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\" \/>\r\n<p><span class=\"font-762333\"><em>Disclaimer: This article is written based on my best research as of the time of writing, and should not be considered as a buy\/sell recommendation. Please do your own due diligence and\/or seek professional advice when making your investment decision.<\/em><\/span><\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row]<\/p><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>For a while, I have been curious about whether gold is a stable investment \u2013 and managed to do some digging into this topic.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":68292,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"no","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[333],"tags":[182,185],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v22.5 (Yoast SEO v22.5) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Is Gold a Stable Investment? - No Money Lah<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"For a while, I have been intrigued by the conventional thinking of gold as a stable investment \u2013 and managed to do some digging into this topic.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/nomoneylah.com\/2019\/11\/26\/gold-stable-investment\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Is Gold a Stable Investment?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"For a while, I have been intrigued by the conventional thinking of gold as a stable investment \u2013 and managed to do some digging into this topic.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/nomoneylah.com\/2019\/11\/26\/gold-stable-investment\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"No Money Lah\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2019-11-26T05:29:27+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-01-26T04:18:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/nomoneylah.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/bar-conceptual-contemporary-dark-321464.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1600\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1067\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Chin Yi Xuan\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Chin Yi Xuan\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/nomoneylah.com\/2019\/11\/26\/gold-stable-investment\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/nomoneylah.com\/2019\/11\/26\/gold-stable-investment\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Chin Yi Xuan\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/nomoneylah.com\/#\/schema\/person\/0a240fe70ae67be73c1ebd53501f2f98\"},\"headline\":\"Is Gold a Stable Investment?\",\"datePublished\":\"2019-11-26T05:29:27+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-01-26T04:18:00+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/nomoneylah.com\/2019\/11\/26\/gold-stable-investment\/\"},\"wordCount\":751,\"commentCount\":1,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/nomoneylah.com\/#\/schema\/person\/0a240fe70ae67be73c1ebd53501f2f98\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/nomoneylah.com\/2019\/11\/26\/gold-stable-investment\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/nomoneylah.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/bar-conceptual-contemporary-dark-321464.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"gold\",\"hellogold\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Investing\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/nomoneylah.com\/2019\/11\/26\/gold-stable-investment\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/nomoneylah.com\/2019\/11\/26\/gold-stable-investment\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/nomoneylah.com\/2019\/11\/26\/gold-stable-investment\/\",\"name\":\"Is Gold a Stable Investment? 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I am Yi Xuan. I am a writer, personal finance &amp; REIT enthusiast, and a developing trader with the goal to become a full-time funded trader. 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