{"id":70061,"date":"2020-10-25T13:01:12","date_gmt":"2020-10-25T05:01:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nomoneylah.com\/?p=70061"},"modified":"2022-05-01T17:31:42","modified_gmt":"2022-05-01T09:31:42","slug":"make-better-decisions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nomoneylah.com\/2020\/10\/25\/make-better-decisions\/","title":{"rendered":"Make Better Investment & Financial Decisions in Uncertain Times. (Part 1)"},"content":{"rendered":"
It\u2019s crazy how all of us have been a better decision-maker in just about anything other than money-related scenarios in life:<\/span><\/p>\n Experiment: Does salt make water boil faster?<\/span><\/p>\n Hypothesis 0 (H0<\/sub>)<\/strong>: Salt makes water boil faster.<\/span><\/p>\n Hypothesis 1 (H1<\/sub>)<\/strong>: Salt has no effect in making the water boil faster.<\/span><\/p>\n Fixed Variable<\/strong>: Size of the boiling tube, Amount of water in each trial, Temperature of the room.<\/span><\/p>\n Independent Variable<\/strong>: The amount of salt added to the water (g)<\/span><\/p>\n Dependent Variable<\/strong>: The time taken to boil the water to 100\u00b0C<\/strong><\/sup><\/span><\/p>\n Outcome: Salt has a negligible impact on getting water boiled faster. (Okay\u2026 I googled it<\/a>)<\/span><\/p>\n Decision: Stop adding salt just to boil the water in the future.<\/span><\/p>\n Experiment: Does Annie has the same feeling towards me as I have towards her?<\/span><\/p>\n Hypothesis 0 (H0<\/sub>)<\/strong>: Yes, she has.<\/span><\/p>\n Hypothesis 1 (H1<\/sub>)<\/strong>: Friendzoned.<\/span><\/p>\n Fixed Variable<\/strong>: My looks.<\/span><\/p>\n Independent Variable<\/strong>: Time and effort taken in this pursuit.<\/span><\/p>\n Dependent Variable<\/strong>: Whether she has a crush on me.<\/span><\/p>\n Action: Confess.<\/span><\/p>\n Outcome: She said I am just a good friend.<\/span><\/p>\n Decision: Stay single until I meet the next girl that\u2019ll make my heart pikpok pikpok.<\/span><\/p>\n Action: Investing in a company in the stock market.<\/span><\/p>\n Subconscious Mindset: \u201cThe ONLY<\/em> outcome from this investment is that it will<\/u> make me a lot of money.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n —<\/p>\n From high-school science experiments to even the lamest part of our relationship life, we have a set of rather similar decision-making processes (sometimes made subconsciously).<\/span><\/p>\n This includes setting up hypotheses: IF X happens THEN I\u2019ll do Y. IF A happens THEN I\u2019ll do B.<\/span><\/p>\n This includes having a set of variables (Fixed, Independent, Dependent) in place while making our decisions.<\/span><\/p>\n Simply put, we come to a decision with the understanding (or acceptance) that there are uncertainties in the outcome of our decisions<\/strong>, AND there are things beyond our control or knowledge<\/strong> in every decision that we make. \u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n In these decisions, we embrace uncertainties and a lack of complete information and control in our execution.<\/span><\/p>\n But not so much when it comes to investing.<\/span><\/p>\n When it comes to investing, most people yearn for absolute certainty (eg. \u201chow many percent of return can you guarantee for my investment?\u201d). The fact that the market and business are even more dynamic and uncertain makes seeking absolute certainty a suicidal act for investors.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n —<\/p>\n Hope this week\u2019s newsletter is thought-provoking!<\/span><\/p>\n Till next week \ud83d\ude42<\/span><\/p>\n p.s. Do you like Part 1 of this decision-making newsletter? Let me know by leaving a comment in the comment section below, and if the responses are good, I\u2019ll come out with Part 2: Luck in decision-making<\/strong>!<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" It\u2019s crazy how all of us have been a better decision-maker in just about anything other than money-related scenarios in […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":68260,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[333,341],"tags":[366,210,275,349],"yoast_head":"\n\n
Science experiment at High School (assuming you listened in class):<\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
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Trying to see if our crush has the same feeling towards ourselves:<\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
However, this is what goes through the mind of most people when \u2018investing\u2019 in a company in the stock market:<\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n
Here\u2019s my point:\u00a0 <\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n
So this leaves us with 4 takeaways from this week\u2019s newsletter: <\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n
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